Analysis and Forecast of The Walt Disney Company (DIS) Daily Stock Performance.

 

Executive Summary:

The Walt Disney Company's daily stock performance has recently entered the Bearish zone, indicating a period of decline. Over the past four days, the stock has shown signs of weakening selling pressure and temporary strengthening buying pressure, transitioning from a downtrend to a minor uptrend. As of November 2nd, the stock has entered the Bullish zone, suggesting a potential reversal in the trend.

Short-Term Analysis (Next 3 Days):

In the short term, it is anticipated that the stock might enter a corrective phase over the next three days, exhibiting limited and temporary fluctuations. Despite potential minor upward movements, the overall trend is expected to be subdued. However, a more significant uptrend is anticipated to resume starting from next Tuesday, with an estimated increase of approximately 4% to 5% based on the projected stock price at that time.

Medium-Long Term Outlook (Next 1-2 Weeks):

Looking ahead to the next 1-2 weeks, a trading range pattern is expected to form within the Bullish zone, characterized by alternating upward and corrective trends. The stock is likely to experience periods of both rising and falling prices within this range. However, as buying pressure weakens and corrective phases extend, a more substantial downtrend is anticipated to commence in mid-November. This could lead to a return to the Bearish zone, indicating an overall decline in the stock's value.

Market Influences and Risk Factors:

The performance of DIS stock is closely correlated with the overall US market, with a correlation coefficient of approximately 69%. Therefore, changes in the broader market conditions are likely to impact Disney's stock price significantly. Sudden and drastic shifts in market dynamics could alter these predictions, necessitating further analysis and updates.

Conclusion:

In conclusion, based on the current analysis, it is expected that The Walt Disney Company's stock will undergo short-term fluctuations within the Bullish zone, followed by a potential downtrend in mid-November. Investors should closely monitor market conditions and be prepared to adapt their strategies accordingly.

Note: This analysis is subject to change based on market conditions, and updates will be provided upon request or in response to significant market developments.


Nov 02, 2023

◆ Closed price

83.29

2.74%

　

　

◆ Appropriate Investment Position: Bullish-Buy [Long-term strategy]

◆ Today's stock price Buy-Sell intensity analysis

The current trend appears to be 'Uptrend'. The OPEN-price started with a stronger upward rate than the current trend and The HIGH and LOW prices are showing a stronger HIGH-price and a weaker LOW-price Finally, the CLOSE-price closed with a stronger upward rate than the current trend.

The overall buy-and-sell intensity indicates that the buy intensity is stronger than the sell.

Assuming that the average buy intensity is 100%,

Today's buy intensity is

252%

 

 

◆ Tomorrow's stock price Buy-Sell intensity Prediction

Based on recent stock trends and technical analysis, it looks like DIS stock will enter an Correction trend tomorrow

The %intensity of Risk & Return tomorrow :

22%

HIGH ~ LOW % range tomorrow :

1.0%

-0.2%

Predicted Average return over the next 3 days:

0.8%

The price of DIS stock moves in line with the rise and fall of the stock market index with a probability of

69%

 

, and conversely, it moves against the stock market index trend with a probability of

31%

 

 

◆ DIS stock price 10 Day prediction [Short-term strategy]

It is expected that the overall trend movement over the next 10 days will follow a sideways box pattern, with a ratio of 4 : 6 for the downward to upward direction, indicating a higher proportion of the upward trend. And, in terms of the expected strength of the upward and downward movements, the upward strength is somewhat higher, while the downward strength is moderate. Currently, it's in the midst of a strong uptrend in prices, marked by brief declines and strong rises. and The Buy-Sell intensity has changed from a weak buying flow to a strengthening buying flow again.

Indicating that We are currently in a bullish zone so far. But It is likely to change to a bearish zone within a few days. A suitable investing position is 'Buy(Bullish) and Hold' for now. The appropriate buying timing is predicted to be in 3 days.

The buying date is

Nov 06

to

Nov 07

A good price to buy a stock:

$ 82.69

And the appropriate selling timing is predicted to be in 7 days.

 

The selling date is

Nov 10

to

Nov 13

A good price to sell a stock:

$ 86.13

(Prediction may shift due to changes in the Buy-Sell intensity)

◆ Volatility of Prediction

Due to sudden changes in Buy-Sell intensity that can cause instability in trend linkage, pretiming predictions can be highly volatile.

◆ Prediction the turning point of the trend

The probability of a trend reversal occurring approximately 2 days from now, 4 days from now, 7 days from now

61%

◆ Prediction of Upper~Lower price range over the next 10 days

Price:

82.80

~

85.70

% Change:

-0.6%

~

2.9%

Median price between the upper and lower prices

84.25

1.2%

◆ Analysis of the trend zone & level% and average intensity of trends

For the last 30 days, the average trend zone & level%

Bearish

-7%

The Current trend zone & level%

Bullish

0%

The expected average trend zone & level% for the next 10 days

Bullish

53%

If the trend moves upward from the current trend level%, it's expected to have an average upward strength of

56%

(Max 100%)

And if it moves downward, it is expected to have a downward strength of

-42%

(Min -100%)

◆ Prediction the intensity of the trend and the range of the HIGH ~ LOW

Trend

%Intensity

HIGH

LOW

In 1 day: Entering a correction trend

22%

1.0%

-0.2%

In 2 days: Entering a correction trend

10%

0.9%

-0.2%

In 3 days: Correction trend

-43%

0.0%

-1.4%

In 4 days: Turning into an uptrend

100%

1.6%

-0.3%

In 5 days: Uptrend

71%

1.6%

0.1%

In 6 days: Entering a correction trend

75%

1.5%

0.2%

In 7 days: Entering a correction trend

58%

0.8%

-0.1%

In 8 days: Correction trend

-48%

0.1%

-1.2%

In 9 days: Correction trend

-48%

0.1%

-1.4%

In 10 days: Entering an uptrend

-31%

0.0%

-0.7%

◆ Average closing price in case of rising:

 

1.2%

=> HIGH ~ LOW range:

1.6%

~

-0.5%

◆ Average closing price in case of falling:

 

-1.1%

=> HIGH ~ LOW range:

0.4%

~

-1.6%

The 10-day prediction and technical analysis of DIS stock are conducted based on the analysis of buy-sell intensity by the pretiming analysis. This analysis provides detailed information on various aspects, including the best stocks to buy, stock price targets, and investment strategies. It also includes bearish and bullish stock trend analysis as well as stock technical analysis.


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