USMAI Market Outlook: Balancing Short-Term Correction Trends and Envisioning Future Bullish Momentum.


[ Over the weekend, we have implemented an update to the Pretiming Analysis Algorithm System. The accuracy of trend data values in the trend zone and the subsequent predictive values have been fine-tuned. As a result, there may be variations between the previous prediction values and trend data values.

We kindly ask for your understanding regarding any discrepancies that may arise due to these adjustments. ]


Introduction: The USMAI daily trend is currently exhibiting a bullish momentum, marking the second consecutive day of an upward trend. However, there are indications of a potential shift as buying strength weakens and selling pressure temporarily intensifies, as observed on December 4th. This has prompted a move towards a corrective trend, signaling a potential adjustment in the overall trend for this week.

Current Trend Analysis: As of now, the market appears to be entering a correction phase, characterized by an overall weakening in bullish sentiment. The decrease in buying intensity coupled with a temporary surge in selling pressure suggests a possible short-term bearish scenario. Despite this, it is important to note that the broader trend is anticipated to remain bullish, with the correction serving as a temporary adjustment.

Short-Term Outlook (This Week): The prevailing outlook for this week leans towards a corrective trend, with a potential dip into the bearish zone. The market is expected to navigate through an overall period of weakness and adjustment. Traders and investors should be cautious of short-term fluctuations and monitor the market closely for potential entry or exit points.

Mid-Term Outlook (Next Week Onwards): Looking ahead to the upcoming week, there is a forecasted return to the bullish trend. The correction is expected to be temporary, with the market poised to re-enter an upward trajectory, especially as we approach the beginning of the following week. While there is a possibility of a brief entry into the bearish zone, the overall expectation is a resurgence of the bullish trend.

Conclusion: In conclusion, the current analysis suggests a short-term correction in the USMAI trend, with the potential for a temporary entry into the bearish zone. However, the broader outlook remains optimistic, anticipating a return to the bullish trend in the upcoming weeks. Investors are advised to stay vigilant, considering both short-term fluctuations and the overarching market trend.


Dec 04, 2023

Closed price

4,596.74

-0.51%

 

 

Appropriate Investment Position: Bullish-Buy [Long-term strategy]

Today's Buy-Sell intensity analysis

The current trend appears to be 'Entering a correction trend'. The OPEN-price started with a stronger decline rate than the current trend and The HIGH and LOW prices are showing a weaker HIGH-price and a stronger LOW-price Finally, the CLOSE-price closed with a stronger decline rate than the current trend.

The overall buy-sell intensity indicates that the sell intensity is stronger than the buy.

Assuming that the average sell intensity is -100%,

Today's sell intensity is

-332%

 

 

Tomorrow's Buy-Sell intensity Prediction

Based on recent market trends and technical analysis, it looks like US Stock Market Average Index will enter an Correction trend tomorrow

The %intensity of Risk & Return tomorrow :

-18%

HIGH ~ LOW % range tomorrow :

0.1%

-0.1%

Predicted Average loss over the next 3 days:

-0.3%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

US Stock Market Average Index price futures 10 Day prediction [Short-term strategy]

It is expected that the overall trend movement over the next 10 days will follow a strong upward direction, with a ratio of 4 : 6 for the downward to upward direction, indicating a higher proportion of the upward trend. And, in terms of the expected strength of the upward and downward movements, the upward strength is higher, while the downward strength is moderate. Currently, it's about to begin a correction trend as an upward trend gradually gives way to a slowdown in rises and falling fluctuations. and When the stock market opened, the Buy-Sell intensity had turned into a stronger selling flow.

Indicating that We are currently in a bullish zone. Therefore, it is recommended to implement a strategy to increase profits and take a suitable investing position. A suitable investing position is 'Buy(Bullish) and Hold' for now. The appropriate buying timing is predicted to be in 3 days.

The buying date is

Dec 06

to

Dec 07

A good price to buy a stock:

$ 4,578.49

And the appropriate selling timing is predicted to be in 8 days.

 

The selling date is

Dec 13

to

Dec 14

A good price to sell a stock:

$ 4,690.32

(Prediction may shift due to changes in the Buy-Sell intensity)

Volatility of Prediction

Due to sudden changes in Buy-Sell intensity that can cause instability in trend linkage, pretiming predictions can be highly volatile.

Predicting the Turning Point of the Trend

The probability of a trend reversal occurring approximately 1 day from now, 5 days from now

 

Prediction of Upper~Lower price range over the next 10 days

Price:

4,578.32

~

4,679.93

% Change:

-0.4%

~

1.8%

Median price between the upper and lower prices

4,629.13

0.7%

Analysis of the trend zone & level% and average intensity of trends

For the last 30 days, the average trend zone & level%

Bullish

28%

The Current trend zone & level%

Bullish

55%

The expected average trend zone & level% for the next 10 days

Bullish

54%

If the trend moves upward from the current trend level%, it's expected to have an average upward strength of

79%

(Max 100%)

And if it moves downward, it is expected to have a downward strength of

-37%

(Min -100%)

Prediction the intensity of the trend and the range of the HIGH ~ LOW

Trend

%Intensity

HIGH

LOW

In 1 day: Entering a correction trend

-18%

0.1%

-0.1%

In 2 days: Correction trend

-46%

0.0%

-0.2%

In 3 days: Correction trend

-45%

0.0%

-0.2%

In 4 days: Correction trend

24%

0.3%

-0.1%

In 5 days: Entering an uptrend

100%

0.7%

-0.1%

In 6 days: Uptrend

100%

0.8%

0.1%

In 7 days: Uptrend

94%

0.7%

0.0%

In 8 days: Uptrend

79%

0.5%

0.0%

In 9 days: Entering a correction trend

-45%

0.0%

-0.3%

In 10 days: Entering a correction trend

-31%

0.1%

-0.1%

Average closing price in case of rising:

 

0.6%

=> HIGH ~ LOW range:

0.8%

~

-0.2%

Average closing price in case of falling:

 

-0.3%

=> HIGH ~ LOW range:

0.4%

~

-0.6%

The 10-day prediction and technical analysis of the US Stock Market Average Index index are conducted based on the analysis of buy-sell intensity by the pretiming analysis. This analysis provides detailed information on various aspects, including the best stocks to buy, stock price targets, and investment strategies. It also includes bearish and bullish stock trend analysis as well as stock technical analysis.

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