S&P 500. Daily Trend Analysis: Critical Juncture Ahead



S&P 500 Daily Trend Analysis: Critical Juncture Ahead

The S&P 500 entered the Bearish zone four days ago, initiating a downtrend. Currently, a rebound trend is underway. While a short-term entry into the Bullish zone is anticipated, the overall weakening of buying momentum suggests the possibility of maintaining the Bearish zone, indicating a potential continuation of the downtrend.

The next 2-3 days will serve as a pivotal juncture, and the direction of buying and selling intensities during this period will likely determine the future trend. If selling pressure strengthens, maintaining the Bearish zone, there is a high likelihood of a sustained downward trend. However, if the current levels of selling and buying intensities persist, a resurgence of the upward trend from the beginning of next week in the Bullish zone is plausible.

Given the numerous possibilities at this critical juncture, the flow of the next 2-3 days is of utmost importance. The directional shift in buying and selling strengths during this period will likely shape the trajectory of the future trend.


Jan 09, 2024

◆ Closed price

4,756.50

-0.15%

　

　

◆ Appropriate Investment Position: Bearish-Sell [Long-term strategy]

◆Today's Buy-Sell intensity analysis

The current trend appears to be 'Rebound trend'. The OPEN-price started with a stronger decline rate than the current trend and The HIGH and LOW prices are showing a weaker HIGH-price and an appropriate LOW-price compared to the current trend. Finally, the CLOSE-price closed with a weaker decline rate than the current trend.

The overall buy-sell intensity indicates that the sell intensity is stronger than the buy.

Assuming that the average sell intensity is -100%,

Today's sell intensity is

-64%

 

 

◆ Tomorrow's Buy-Sell intensity Prediction

Based on recent market trends and technical analysis, it looks like S&P 500 will enter an Correction trend tomorrow

The %intensity of Risk & Return tomorrow :

-39%

HIGH ~ LOW % range tomorrow :

0.0%

-0.5%

Predicted Average loss over the next 3 days:

-1.4%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

◆ S&P 500 stock market 10 Day prediction [Short-term strategy]

It is expected that the overall trend movement over the next 10 days will follow an ascending rectangle pattern, with a ratio of 2 : 8 for the downward to upward direction, indicating a higher proportion of the upward trend. And, in terms of the expected strength of the upward and downward movements, the upward strength is higher, while the downward strength is moderate. Currently, it's in the midst of a rebound trend in an upward-trending market with a box pattern of price fluctuations, marked by small declines and upward fluctuations. but When the stock market opened, the Buy-Sell intensity had turned into a stronger selling flow.

Indicating that [Bearish] We are currently in a bearish zone so far. But It is likely to change to a bullish zone within a few days. A suitable investing position is 'Buy(Bullish) and Hold' for now. The appropriate buying timing is predicted to be in 3 days.

The buying date is

Jan 11

to

Jan 12

A good price to buy a stock:

$ 4,712.47

And the appropriate selling timing is predicted to be in 7 days.

 

The selling date is

Jan 18

to

Jan 19

A good price to sell a stock:

$ 4,836.65

(Prediction may shift due to changes in the Buy-Sell intensity)

◆ Volatility of Prediction

Due to sudden changes in Buy-Sell intensity that can cause instability in trend linkage, pretiming predictions can be highly volatile.

◆ Predicting the Turning Point of the Trend

The probability of a trend reversal occurring approximately 4 days from now, 8 days from now

 

◆ Prediction of Upper~Lower price range over the next 10 days

Price:

4,717.30

~

4,826.38

% Change:

-0.8%

~

1.5%

Median price between the upper and lower prices

4,771.84

0.3%

◆ Analysis of the trend zone & level% and average intensity of trends

For the last 30 days, the average trend zone & level%

Bullish

45%

The Current trend zone & level%

Bearish

-7%

The expected average trend zone & level% for the next 10 days

Bullish

38%

If the trend moves upward from the current trend level%, it's expected to have an average upward strength of

92%

(Max 100%)

And if it moves downward, it is expected to have a downward strength of

-42%

(Min -100%)

◆ Prediction the intensity of the trend and the range of the HIGH ~ LOW

Trend

%Intensity

HIGH

LOW

In 1 day: Entering a correction trend

-39%

0.0%

-0.5%

In 2 days: Entering a correction trend

-45%

0.0%

-0.5%

In 3 days: Entering a correction trend

-36%

0.0%

-0.3%

In 4 days: Reversion to an uptrend

100%

0.8%

0.1%

In 5 days: Uptrend

94%

0.9%

0.1%

In 6 days: Uptrend

99%

0.8%

0.1%

In 7 days: Entering a correction trend

73%

0.5%

0.0%

In 8 days: Entering a correction trend

-48%

0.0%

-0.5%

In 9 days: Correction trend

-44%

0.0%

-0.4%

In 10 days: Correction trend

-41%

0.0%

-0.4%

◆ Average closing price in case of rising:

 

0.6%

=> HIGH ~ LOW range:

0.7%

~

-0.2%

◆ Average closing price in case of falling:

 

-0.4%

=> HIGH ~ LOW range:

0.3%

~

-0.7%

The 10-day prediction and technical analysis of the S&P 500 index are conducted based on the analysis of buy-sell intensity by the pretiming analysis. This analysis provides detailed information on various aspects, including the best stocks to buy, stock price targets, and investment strategies. It also includes bearish and bullish stock trend analysis as well as stock technical analysis.


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