MARA. Stock Analysis and Predictions: Navigating Bearish to Bullish Transition.



Summary:

  • MARA stock is currently in a Bearish trend zone, prompting a "Sell and Wait" strategy, with a potential transition to Bullish soon.
  • Short-term strategy suggests active selling response in Bearish zone, while predicting a temporary upward movement leading to a buying opportunity.
  • Predicted buying date: Feb 08, with a suggested price of 17.7; selling date: Feb 08 to Feb 09, with a target price of 19.5.

Feb 07, 2024

 

 

 

MARA stock closing price

17.5

2.81%

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Long-term strategy]

The current trend zone is Bearish. and Investment position suitable for the trend zone is Sell and Wait.

 

 

 

 

The trend within a Bearish zone is divided into a 'Downtrend' in the downward direction and a 'Rebound Trend' in the upward direction. In the Downtrend, there is a strong downward flow with occasional upward movements, while in the Rebound Trend, there is a fluctuating flow involving limited or temporary upward movements and downward fluctuations. Investing in this zone is associated with low expected returns and a higher risk of decline.

 

 

 

 

In a Bearish zone, there is potential for strong selling pressure to persist, resulting in a pronounced downward trend and a relatively weak upward rebound trend. When considering a medium to long-term investment strategy, if the trend moves in the Bearish zone, one can anticipate a downward flow of the bearish trend, allowing for the possibility of avoiding high downside risks or potentially gaining profits by investing in inverse stocks.

 

 

 

 

This is a method of waiting, observing the overall market conditions after selling in anticipation of a general price decline, and then making a buy decision again. And when the trend enters a Bullish zone, it becomes the Buying point.

 

 

 

 

The potential for the trend to enter the Bullish zone soon is high, prompting the need to consider a change in investment strategy at this juncture.

 

 

 

 

The 'Sell and Wait' position has been maintained for 2 days since the entry into the Bearish zone. During this period, the cumulative rate of

return in the Bearish has been

5.4%

as of the current date.

 

 

 

 

Selling price

Current price

Difference

16.6

17.5

0.9

Feb 05, 2024

Feb 07, 2024

2 days

 

 

 

 

[Short-term strategy]

Indicating that [Bearish] We are currently in a bearish zone so far. But It is likely to change to a bullish zone within a few days.

 

 

 

 

In a bearish zone, where selling intensity is potentially strong, considering the possibility of a significant downturn at appropriate selling points is crucial. Hence, in the short term, an active and aggressive selling response is effective. During buying moments, it is advisable to adopt a wait-and-see approach or a conservative response with low exposure for purchases. Responding promptly to sell during upward movements can be utilized as an opportunity for risk hedging.

 

 

 

 

Currently, it's in the midst of a rebound trend in an upward-trending market with a box pattern of price fluctuations, marked by small declines and upward fluctuations. and It's maintaining a suitable Buy-Sell intensity for the current trend conditions.

 

 

 

 

A rebound trend can be considered a breathing moment with a temporary price or time-based recovery where the strong selling pressure momentarily eases, and there is a temporary emergence of strong buying interest.

 

 

 

 

It is expected that the overall trend movement over the next 10 days will follow a strong upward direction, with a ratio of 4 : 6 for the downward to upward direction, indicating a higher proportion of the upward trend. And, in terms of the expected intensity of the upward and downward movements, the upward intensity is higher, while the downward intensity is moderate.

 

 

 

 

A suitable investing position is 'Buy(Bullish) and Hold' for now. The appropriate buying timing is predicted to be either today or tomorrow.

 

 

 

 

The buying date is

Feb 08

 

 

A good price to buy a stock:

17.7

 

 

 

 

And the appropriate selling timing is predicted to be in 2 days.

The selling date is

Feb 08

to

Feb 09

A good price to sell a stock:

19.5

 

 

 

 

The price of MARA stock moves in line with the rise and fall of

the stock market index with a probability of

66%

, and

Conversely, it moves against the stock market index trend

with a probability of

34%

 

 

The correlation level with the US stock market being moderate, there is a possibility of moving somewhat similarly to the trends in the US market, but there is also a sufficient chance of moving in the opposite direction.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

- Volatility of Prediction

Due to maintaining a proper flow of Buy-Sell intensity that is suitable for the current trend, pretiming predictions may have low volatility.

 

 

 

 

- Predicting the Turning Point of the Trend

The probability of a trend reversal occurring approximately 4 days from now, 8 days from now

 

 

 

 

 

- Prediction of Upper~Lower price range over the next 10 days

Price:

17.2

~

21.1

% Change:

-1.8%

~

20.0%

Median price between the upper and lower

19.1

9.1%

 

 

 

 

- Analysis of the trend zone & level% and average intensity of trends

For the last 30 days, the average trend zone & level%

Bearish

-21%

The Current trend zone & level%

Bearish

-9%

The expected average trend zone & level% for the next 10 days

Bullish

15%

If the trend moves upward from the current trend level%, it's expected to have an average upward intensity of

85%

(Max 100%)

And if it moves downward, it is expected to have a downward intensity of

-37%

(Min -100%)

 

 

 

 

- Average closing price in case of rising:

 

5.9%

=> HIGH ~ LOW range:

8.2%

~

-2.0%

- Average closing price in case of falling:

 

-4.2%

=> HIGH ~ LOW range:

3.9%

~

-7.0%

 

 

 

 

The 10-day prediction and technical analysis of MARA stock are conducted based on the analysis of buy-sell intensity by the pretiming analysis. This analysis provides detailed information on various aspects, including the best stocks to buy, stock price targets, and investment strategies. It also includes bearish and bullish stock trend analysis as well as stock technical analysis.

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