S&P500. Daily analysis: Long-Term and Short-Term Investment Strategies: Analysis and Predictions.

Summary: In the long-term strategy, it's recommended to invest in and hold assets in the current uptrend zone. The cumulative return over the past 18 days stands at 3.9%. For the short-term strategy, buying and holding stocks aligned with the upward trend is advised, with a suggested buying date in 3 days and selling date in 7 days. Predictions for the next 10 days involve technical analysis of price ranges and trends.


Feb 05, 2024

 

 

 

S&P 500 closing price

4,942.8

-0.32%

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Long-term strategy]

The current trend zone is Bullish. and Investment position suitable for the trend zone is Buy and Hold.

 

 

 

 

The trend within a Bullish zone is divided into an 'Uptrend' in the upward direction and a 'Correction Trend' in the downward direction. In the Uptrend, there is a strong upward flow with occasional downward movements, while in the Correction Trend, there is a fluctuating flow involving limited or temporary downward movements and upward fluctuations. Investing in this zone is associated with high expected returns and a low risk of decline.

 

 

 

 

In a Bullish zone, the potential for strong buying pressure is maintained, leading to a robust upward trend and a relatively mild correction trend. When viewed through a medium to long-term investment approach, if the trend continues to move in the Bullish zone, one can anticipate an upward flow of the bullish trend, seeking the potential for high returns.

 

 

 

 

This is a method of investing in the long term, enjoying investment returns by holding assets for an extended period rather than engaging in repetitive buying and selling based on price fluctuations. And when the trend enters a Bearish zone, it becomes the Selling point.

 

 

 

 

As there are no anticipated changes in the trend zone that warrant considering a shift in investment strategy at this point, it is advisable to maintain the current investment position.

 

 

 

 

The 'Buy and Hold' position has been maintained for 18 days since the entry into the Bullish zone. During this period, the cumulative rate of

return in the Bullish has been

3.9%

as of the current date.

 

 

 

 

Buying price

Current price

Difference

4,756.5

4,942.8

186.3

Jan 09, 2024

Feb 05, 2024

18 days

 

 

 

 

[Short-term strategy]

Indicating that We are currently in a bullish zone. Therefore, it is recommended to implement a strategy to increase profits and take a suitable investing position.

 

 

 

 

In a bullish zone, where buying intensity is potentially strong, anticipating significant upward movements is reasonable. Therefore, actively responding with aggressive buying at appropriate entry points in the short term is effective. During selling moments, a gradual and partial selling approach is recommended. This strategy allows for the exploration of opportunities to buy back at lower prices.

 

 

 

 

Currently, it's about to begin a correction trend as an upward trend gradually gives way to a slowdown in rises and falling fluctuations. and It's maintaining a suitable Buy-Sell intensity for the current trend conditions.

 

 

 

 

Entering a correction trend can be identified as the point when the previously strong buying intensity begins to gradually weaken, and the robust upward momentum starts to diminish.

 

 

 

 

It is expected that the overall trend movement over the next 10 days will follow a strong upward direction, with a ratio of 4 : 6 for the downward to upward direction, indicating a higher proportion of the upward trend. And, in terms of the expected intensity of the upward and downward movements, the upward intensity is higher, while the downward intensity is moderate.

 

 

 

 

A suitable investing position is 'Buy(Bullish) and Hold' for now. The appropriate buying timing is predicted to be in 3 days.

 

 

 

 

The buying date is

Feb 07

to

Feb 08

A good price to buy a stock:

4,888.3

 

 

 

 

And the appropriate selling timing is predicted to be in 7 days.

The selling date is

Feb 13

to

Feb 14

A good price to sell a stock:

5,074.5

 

 

 

 


 

 

 

- Volatility of Prediction

Due to maintaining a proper flow of Buy-Sell intensity that is suitable for the current trend, pretiming predictions may have low volatility.

 

 

 

 

- Predicting the Turning Point of the Trend

The probability of a trend reversal occurring Today and approximately 3 days from now, 9 days from now

 

 

 

 

 

- Prediction of Upper~Lower price range over the next 10 days

Price:

4,902.3

~

5,069.9

% Change:

-0.8%

~

2.6%

Median price between the upper and lower

4,986.1

0.9%

 

 

 

 

- Analysis of the trend zone & level% and average intensity of trends

For the last 30 days, the average trend zone & level%

Bullish

30%

The Current trend zone & level%

Bullish

40%

The expected average trend zone & level% for the next 10 days

Bullish

60%

If the trend moves upward from the current trend level%, it's expected to have an average upward intensity of

80%

(Max 100%)

And if it moves downward, it is expected to have a downward intensity of

-39%

(Min -100%)

 

 

 

 

- Average closing price in case of rising:

 

0.6%

=> HIGH ~ LOW range:

0.8%

~

-0.2%

- Average closing price in case of falling:

 

-0.3%

=> HIGH ~ LOW range:

0.3%

~

-0.6%

 

 

 

 

The 10-day prediction and technical analysis of the S&P 500 index are conducted based on the analysis of buy-sell intensity by the pretiming analysis. This analysis provides detailed information on various aspects, including the best stocks to buy, stock price targets, and investment strategies. It also includes bearish and bullish stock trend analysis as well as stock technical analysis.

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