Navigating Market Volatility: S&P 500 Daily Trend Analysis and Future Projections.


S&P  500 10-Day Prediction and Technical Analysis.

Current Status: Bearish Zone Entry Expected in Mid-November

I hope this report finds you well. In this analysis, we focus on the recent trends in the S&P 500 index, outlining the market's behavior and potential future movements.

1. Recent Market Performance

The S&P 500 index entered the bullish zone approximately six days ago, indicating a positive trend. However, starting from yesterday, we observed a weakening buying momentum, signaling an imminent correction. Today, the market underwent a significant decline due to Powell's dovish remarks, causing an accelerated downturn as bond yields rose.

2. Short-Term Outlook

We anticipate a further decline within the current correction trend; however, the extent of this decline is expected to be limited. There are indications of a potential rebound early next week. Nonetheless, if buying momentum continues to weaken and selling pressure intensifies, the market could transition into a bearish zone by mid-November.

3. Mid-to-Long Term Projection

Looking ahead, if the daily trend enters the bearish zone by mid-November, it will likely sustain strong selling sentiment, leading to an extended period of decline. This scenario suggests a higher likelihood of an expanded cumulative downturn.

Conclusion

In summary, the S&P 500 index is currently in a corrective phase following a brief bullish period. While a short-term rebound is possible early next week, a transition into the bearish zone in mid-November could trigger a more substantial and prolonged downturn. Investors are advised to closely monitor market developments and adjust their portfolios accordingly to mitigate potential risks.

We will continue to provide timely updates as the situation unfolds. If you have any questions or require further analysis, please do not hesitate to contact us.

Nov 09, 2023

◆ Closed price

4,346.81

-0.82%

　

　

◆ Appropriate Investment Position: Bullish-Buy [Long-term strategy]

◆Today's Buy-Sell intensity analysis

The current trend appears to be 'Correction trend'. The OPEN-price started with a stronger upward rate than the current trend and The HIGH and LOW prices are showing an appropriate HIGH-price to the current trend and a stronger LOW-price Finally, the CLOSE-price closed with a stronger decline rate than the current trend.

The overall buy-sell intensity indicates that the sell intensity is stronger than the buy.

Assuming that the average sell intensity is -100%,

Today's sell intensity is

-202%

 

 

◆ Tomorrow's Buy-Sell intensity Prediction

Based on recent market trends and technical analysis, it looks like S&P 500 is poised for an Correction trend tomorrow

The %intensity of Risk & Return tomorrow :

-46%

HIGH ~ LOW % range tomorrow :

0.1%

-0.5%

Predicted Average loss over the next 3 days:

-0.3%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

◆ S&P 500 stock market 10 Day prediction [Short-term strategy]

It is expected that the overall trend movement over the next 10 days will follow a sideways box pattern, with a ratio of 9 : 1 for the downward to upward direction, indicating a higher proportion of the downward trend. And, in terms of the expected strength of the upward and downward movements, the downward strength is somewhat higher, while the upward strength is moderate. Currently, it's in the midst of a correction trend in a downward-trending market with a box pattern of price fluctuations, marked by small increases and downward fluctuations. and The Buy-Sell intensity had a stronger selling flow than a selling flow in a bullish zone.

Indicating that We are currently in a bullish zone. Therefore, it is recommended to implement a strategy to increase profits and take a suitable investing position. A suitable investing position is 'Sell(Bearish)' for now. The appropriate buying timing is predicted to be in 2 days.

The buying date is

Nov 10

to

Nov 13

A good price to buy a stock:

$ 4,330.63

And the appropriate selling timing is predicted to be in 4 days.

 

The selling date is

Nov 14

to

Nov 15

A good price to sell a stock:

$ 4,383.98

(Prediction may shift due to changes in the Buy-Sell intensity)

◆ Volatility of Prediction

Due to sudden changes in Buy-Sell intensity that can cause instability in trend linkage, pretiming predictions can be highly volatile.

◆ Prediction the turning point of the trend

The probability of a trend reversal occurring approximately 9 days from now

50%

◆ Prediction of Upper~Lower price range over the next 10 days

Price:

4,295.24

~

4,363.89

% Change:

-1.2%

~

0.4%

Median price between the upper and lower prices

4,329.57

-0.4%

◆ Analysis of the trend zone & level% and average intensity of trends

For the last 30 days, the average trend zone & level%

Bearish

-1%

The Current trend zone & level%

Bullish

81%

The expected average trend zone & level% for the next 10 days

Bearish

-24%

If the trend moves upward from the current trend level%, it's expected to have an average upward strength of

41%

(Max 100%)

And if it moves downward, it is expected to have a downward strength of

-59%

(Min -100%)

◆ Prediction the intensity of the trend and the range of the HIGH ~ LOW

Trend

%Intensity

HIGH

LOW

In 1 day: Correction trend

-46%

0.1%

-0.5%

In 2 days: Entering an uptrend

-7%

0.1%

-0.2%

In 3 days: Entering an uptrend

50%

0.4%

-0.1%

In 4 days: Downtrend

31%

1.2%

0.1%

In 5 days: Downtrend

-61%

0.2%

-0.5%

In 6 days: Downtrend

-97%

0.0%

-0.9%

In 7 days: Downtrend

-98%

0.0%

-0.6%

In 8 days: Entering a rebound trend

-44%

0.1%

-0.4%

In 9 days: Entering a rebound trend

37%

0.7%

0.0%

In 10 days: Rebound trend

46%

1.0%

0.2%

◆ Average closing price in case of rising:

 

0.5%

=> HIGH ~ LOW range:

0.8%

~

-0.2%

◆ Average closing price in case of falling:

 

-0.6%

=> HIGH ~ LOW range:

0.3%

~

-0.8%

The 10-day prediction and technical analysis of the S&P 500 index are conducted based on the analysis of buy-sell intensity by the pretiming analysis. This analysis provides detailed information on various aspects, including the best stocks to buy, stock price targets, and investment strategies. It also includes bearish and bullish stock trend analysis as well as stock technical analysis.

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